Today, success requires strategies that anticipate emerging trends, identify opportunities, and manage risk.
In January 2024, Federal Budget IQ® (FBIQ) adjusted our 18-month forecast to reflect enactment of major legislation by the 117th Congress that increased FY22-31 spending by almost $2 trillion outside the appropriations process creating a contracts-related grants surge. Federal budget data used to evaluate spending trends hasn’t adapted to this baseline shift. February 2025 Treasury Department data confirmed that FBIQ’s FY24 projection was within 1% of actuals.
After the November 2024 elections, President Trump and the Republican-controlled 119th Congress seek to change course with a reconciliation strategy that would claw back billions in spending—particularly from “green new deal” initiatives in the Inflation Reduction Act—to offset a portion of the cost of their budget priorities which include border security, defense, and tax cuts.
With narrow majorities, Speaker Johnson (R-LA) and Senate Majority Leader Thune (R-SD) face challenges that precedent suggests will shrink the size and scope of the reconciliation package, make Speaker Johnson’s Memorial Day 2025 enactment goal for his “big, beautiful bill” strategy unrealistic, extend the process into late summer or fall, and delay outlays for planned border security and defense spending to FY26.
The bottom line—FBIQ projects that total federal contract obligations in FY25 decline for the first time since FY15.
Understand the difference between what government documents say and what they mean.
FBIQ market assessments consider:
- Emerging Administration and Congressional Funding Priorities
- The Federal Policymaking Process
- Practical Operational Issues that May Alter Implementation Prospects and Timetables
- Budgetary, Economic, and Political Conditions
- Feedback from Government Insiders
- New Opportunities
Understand the difference between what government documents say and what they mean.
Federal Budget IQ’s Monthly Newsletter
Each month Federal Budget IQ produces a forward-looking executive level report with analysis and forecasts on issues and actions impacting public sector operations, spending patterns and priorities. Subscribe to evaluate the quality of our work.
Initial Demonstration Project
A demonstration project allows you to control costs and evaluate a deliverable to determine whether Federal Budget IQ’s customized market intelligence work is the right fit for you. Most clients start with a 30-45 day public sector market assessment demonstration project. Options range from a broad sector-focused market outlook for defense, federal civilian agencies, or state and local government to a deep-dive analysis on a strategic market priority.
Annual Partnership (Standard, Enhanced, Concierge)
Once we earn your confidence, the next logical step is a customized annual partnership. Pick from three categories that allow you to customize and scale our work on a pace and budget that makes sense for you.
Standard
Twelve-months of the Federal Budget IQ newsletter, quarterly check-ins with David Taylor, two-three sector-focused market outlook briefings for defense, federal civilian executive branch agencies, and/or state and local government.
Enhanced
Twelve-months of the Federal Budget IQ newsletter, quarterly check-ins with David Taylor, Friday Notes–a quick recap of key events in the style of memos produced for Congressional leaders and White House senior staff, two-three sector-focused market outlook briefings for defense, civilian agencies, and/or state and local government, up to three deep-dive briefings on client-selected strategic market priorities.
Concierge
Twelve-months of the Federal Budget IQ newsletter, quarterly check-ins with David Taylor, Friday Notes–a quick recap of the week’s events in the style of memos produced for Congressional leaders and White House senior staff, quarterly public sector market outlook briefings with sector break-outs for defense, civilian agencies, and/or state and local government, six customized client-selected deep-dive briefings including at least two half-day interactive tactical account-planning workshops on public sector market opportunities.
Strategic Partnership
Annual partnerships can evolve into a strategic partnership after an initial 6-12 month engagement. The initial period allows you to evaluate our team and develop a customized program integrating FBIQ’s work into your business processes, helping you and your executive team set and manage public sector market expectations, identify opportunities, adapt to changing market conditions, manage risk, and ultimately, focus business development and capture resources to boost sales. Strategic partners rely on real-time FBIQ updates and analysis on government actions and other events with addressable public sector market implications. Regular FBIQ deep-dive briefings and account-planning workshops help strategic partners validate, extend, and expand their public sector business development pipelines and improve alignment to emerging public sector growth opportunities.
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